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HYPE EXPRESS: Analysing the Worth of Aguero and Carroll

January 11, 2016

| The Hype Train |

.Old heads in the BPL have begun to rear. Andy Carroll, Defoe, and Rooney have already ushered in 2016 with a goal. Sergio Aguero recently struck for Man City in a 3-0 FA Cup win over Norwich. The question is, are these players worth our attention? Aguero gets a lot of it, Carroll only gets attention due to his choice of hairstyle. We evaluate the possibilities of both men men leading up to FPL Gameweek 21.

 

 

 

The Hammers: A Christmas Carroll

Over the last two weeks the Hammers record signing has been in good form, two goals in two performances for his side. Smashing in two headers the beast in the box has returned to full fitness. He may not be top of yourshopping list but Andy Carroll is unique in football, because surprisingly he is very talented, and when played to his strengths can be one of the most clinical strikers in the league. 

Name: Andy Carroll
Club: West Ham
Position: Forward
Price: £6.4mil
Goals: 3
Assists: 1
Starts: 6

GW19 - SOU (H) - 6pts
GW20 - LIV (H) - 7pts

Next Three
21 BOU (A) - 12th Jan, 19:45pm
22 NEW (A) - 16th Jan 15:00pm
23 MCI (H) - 23th Jan, 17:30pm

On paper West Ham's away form is formidable, and Carroll gets the delivery from his other players to feed him high balls into the box. Unlike Liverpool with Benteke the Hammers know how to feed their top attacking asset. With Dimitri Payet back and Carroll's good form things could start to get interesting for the striker. West Ham are improving and a team currently on the hype, with players coming back from injury there is a good sense that the only way is up for West Ham. 

Jamie Vardy has recently been ruled out for a few weeks and it is a brave move to go for someone like Andy Carroll, but it is a tactical shout that may pay off if you believe in the Hammers away form. You know what you get from the striker, you know that at any point he only needs one point to snatch the points. Carroll has been largely off the radar due to injuries but when the Englishman is a threat he is not to be underestimated.

The Hype Train isn't expecting Ronaldo or Messi showing up, but he is the outlet for West Ham's goals at the moment as they spike in good form. Last season one of our own in the team banked on Carroll in crucial weeks, notably when he scored his brace against Swansea, to make a huge differential count. Odion Ighalo is a safe shout, but if you dare to dream then dream big.

Andy Carroll, two time record signing, is on the watch-list and a great differential for the next two (maybe even three) gameweeks. 

 

 

Do we need 'The Kun?'

Manchester City's star asset is a goalscorer of huge proportions, his impact in the last few seasons has made him a fan favorite for just about everyone who follows the FPL. The biggest talking point this season is his price, he is the most expensive player to choose and with a wealth of other options The Hype Train evaluates whether or not it is right to jump aboard this particular hype train.

Other websites or Fantasy Premier League pundits like to believe Aguero is the equivalent of Jesus, and all ground he treads on his hallow. The Hype Train takes a difference stake...we don't need him. The prodigal son of Manchester City's spending spree is hot property but this year has provided striking options that almost make him redundant, and if you factor in injuries his reliability can be questioned.

Profile: The Kun
Name: Sergio Aguero
Team: Manche$ter City
Price: £13.1mil
Points: 65pts
Ownership: 14.7%
Starts: 11
Missed: 7
Subs On: 2
Subs Off: 10
Goals: 8
Assists: 1 
Bonus: 6

Twenty five of his sixty points were scored in one huge haul against Newcastle which was a huge achievement, but that leaves forty points from the remaining ten starts, and then if you consider that Aguero doesn't even make it to the full ninety, only having completed this achievement twice. Unlike many of the top strikers he doesn't see out games and can usually happen around the sixtieth minute mark which is nervous time for FPL managers anyway...let alone the most expensive asset in the FPL. 

By now a lot of teams have settled into their stride with some of the other striking options, and with every player cheaper than Aguero it has made making a stronger team more achievable. Plenty of players have found that with Aguero on the sidelines it has been easy to build a balanced team. The reason for this also comes down to the abundance of very cheap striking options. Here is how Aguero fits into the top strikers so far in the BPL.

1 Lukaku - EVE 9.3 135
2 Ighalo - WAT 6.4 129
3 Vardy - LEI 7.4 128
4 Kane - TOT 9.8 99
5 Deeney - WAT 5.2 91
6 Giroud - ARS 9.2 82
7 Pellè - SOU 7.8 71
8 Koné - EVE 4.6 69
9 Benteke - LIV 8.2 67
10 Costa - CHE 10.7 67
11 Bojan - STK 5.2 66
12 Martial - MUN 7.6 65
13 Agüero - MCI 13.1 65
14 Ayoze - NEW 5.1 58
15 Gomis - SWA 6.4 55

Seeing it in numbers really puts Aguero's status as an FPL option into question. Only one striker is over the £10.0 mark, Diego Costa, who is only two points adrift of the Manchester City striker. There are seven options which are cheaper than £8.0mil, five opportunities to save £5.0mil for other areas or bringing in a marquee defender or midfielder. Team depth has been fully embraced by the masses, and it might be the first season it has been this way since the top assets in previous seasons were un-droppable. We are of course talking about Suarez (13-14), and Hazard (14-15). We now live in a world where it is perfectly justifiable to drop Sergio Aguero, that is how barmy this season has been for everyone. 

The top four forwards are the natural choices for FPL managers due to their consistency, and this is something that Aguero doesn't currently have in his locker, perhaps soon though. There is a massive points gap between the top five and anything from tenth place and onwards, so it is easy to understand why so many people have not backed the Kun to do well. In hindsight it is even more amazing that some players have kept faith and loyalty with the Citizen striker, even if you take away the inactive accounts there are players who have their hands clasped and praying the next gameweek will spawn the return of Aguero. Patience is something you cannot afford to be successful in the FPL this season, and there are 

Verdict
Does The Hype Train believe he is worthy of all the hype at this stage of the season? No. 

This is the year of the budget options. But, should Aguero still tickle your fancy our recommendation is to see if he makes it through January in one piece, he can be rotated due to Wilfried Bony being able to slot straight into the starting team which is another area of concern for FPL managers. Managing Aguero's game time has seen FPL managers ripping their hair out, but usually Manchester City are late bloomers so it might be a case of 'when' as opposed to 'if' when it comes to Aguero. Many players will be looking to play their wildcard around the double gameweek later on in the season, and if Manchester City reach either FA Cup or League Cup final, with the latter them being in the semi-finals, then this is the perfect time to place Aguero back into your teams. In truth not many FPL managers can afford Aguero, he is now considered a luxury item in the community. 

All aboard.

 

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