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WEEKLY WILDCARDS 2016/17: FPL Gameweek 34

April 20, 2017

| The Hype Train |

Every week The Hype Train analyses the best wildcard options for your Fantasy Premier League teams. Historically weekly FPL Dream Team’s comprise of mostly wildcard players whose selection falls with a low selection % of overall players, to which there is no doubt that their influence cannot be ignored. With such an abundance of points coming from the FPL’s hidden gems The Hype Train selects one player from each Premier League match in the upcoming Gameweek to decide who could be the differential that sets your team apart. All aboard.

 

 

Weekly Wildcards: 2015/16 Season Review

The pursuit of Fantasy Premier League glory never hinges on the success of key 'essential' players, instead finding a differential with very little player ownership can help drive your team up mini-leagues and the global points ladders. The Hype Train invested a great deal of time last season trying to unearth the FPL gems that lay just beneath the surface of our thinking, and we have taken the journey to review our efforts from the 2015/16 season. We're reviewing what worked, what didn't, the teams and players to rely on, and those to avoid. All aboard as we review a season of Weekly Wildcard picks.​

 

To read the full Wildcard Season review, click here, or on cover stars Troy Deeney and Gylfi Sigurdsson below.

 

 

DIFFERENTIALS: WHAT IS A WILDCARD PLAYER?

The rules for the 2015/16 season were easy enough to follow. The only rule was that a player had be to selected by less than 5% of the FPL's populace. With 2016/17's price changes, and player selection trends, we have been forced to revise our rules on what constitutes a differential. After testing the waters with selection, there are just not enough differentials with the 2015/16 classification in each position, so we have introduced position specific rules regarding what is and isn't a wildcard/differential player in the FPL that we believe is representative to the game this season.

 

We have set new boundaries for selection, and these rules listed below will be running throughout the 2016/17 FPL season.

 

Goalkeepers

- Any shot stopper outside of the top 5 selected. A differential Goalkeeper is now considered outside of the top bracket due to the overwhelming ownership selection % of the top 5 GKs for any one Gameweek.

- A GK's ownership must not exceed 10%

 

Defenders

- Due to the pricing structure, a differential Defender is the uncommon picks for any one side. There is one or two overwhelming options for most teams in the FPL that consume ownership percentage.

- We cannot pick the top 2 selected Defenders, unless they fall below 7% ownership. We can only pick the second most selected for the same reasoning. This ensures 2 wildcard options are available for all teams.

 

Midfielders

- Any Midfielder under 8% ownership is classified as a differential.

- Our percentage criteria of 8% is due to a greater wealth of premium midfielders. There is a monopoly of top midfielders for most Premier League clubs, leaving only a handful of Midfielders that provide differential options on a weekly basis.

 

Forwards

- We cannot pick the most highly selected Forwards in the FPL, most of which are over 10% player ownership. The exception is if the top selected Forward from any club falls below 9%.

- Our percentage criteria of 9% is high because there is already a monopoly of Forwards, and anything outside of that is considered to be a differential.

DIFFERENTIALS: GAMEWEEK PERFORMANCE (GW33)

Our scoring procedure is exactly the same as the FPL's, and each week a good barometer of success is whether or not our weekly selections outscore the average points for a Gameweek. Each week the results vary due to rotation, and unpredictable scorelines, which applies more so to differential players. We have an invested interest each and every week at finding the different players to make a difference, especially since it is easy to say Aguero or Kane will get on the score sheet.

 

See below for how our wildcard selections got on this past Gameweek.

 

Gameweek 33 Average Points: 46pts
Gameweek 33 Wildcard Points: 45pts

 

 

DIFFERENTIALS: SEASON PERFORMANCE

To help track our progress throughout the 2016/17 season, below you can check how our wildcard selections have done by week to week in the Fantasy Premier League.

 

Best Wildcard Week: GW27 - 72pts, 9 player returns

Worst Wildcard Week: GW10 - 24pts, 2 player returns

 

Average Points: 44 (1), 57 (2), 42 (3), 43 (4), 48 (5), 45 (6), 42 (7), 39 (8), 42 (9), 58 (10), 52 (11), 40 (12), 46 (13), 50 (14), 46 (15), 48 (16), 47 (17), 54 (18), 45 (19), 49 (20), 56 (21), 46 (22), 35 (23), 51 (24), 47 (25), 45 (26), 44 (27), 19 (28), 47 (29), 40 (30), 45 (31), 56 (32), 46 (33) = 1,524pts


Wildcard Points: 25 (1), 25 (2), 26 (3), 57 (4), 37 (5), 32 (6), 46 (7), 36 (8), 35 (9), 24 (10), 39 (11), 57 (12), 42 (13), 55 (14), 45 (15), 41 (16), 42 (17), 44 (18), 50 (19), 63 (20), 65 (21), 46 (22), 39 (23), 29 (24), 43 (25), 38 (26), 72 (27), 32 (28), 46 (29), 40 (30), 52 (31), 33 (32), 45 (33) = 1,401pts

 

 

Best Gamweek Wildcard Player(s)

GW1: Lukasz Fabianski (Burnley vs. Swansea) - 8pts

GW2: Michel Vorm (Spurs vs. Crystal Palace) - 7pts

GW3: John Terry (Chelsea vs. Burnley) - 6pts

GW4: Romelu Lukaku (Sunderland vs. Everton) - 17pts

GW5: Manuel Lanzini (West Brom vs. West Ham) - 7pts

GW6: Hueng-Min Son (Middlesbrough vs. Spurs) - 15pts

GW7: Troy Deeney (Watford vs. Bournemouth) - 9pts

GW8: Gylfi Sigurdsson (Arsenal vs. Swansea) - 9pts

          Callum Wilson (Bournemouth vs. Hull) - 9pts

GW9: Winston Reid (West Ham vs. Sunderland) - 14pts

GW10: Claudio Bravo (West Brom vs. Man City) - 6pts

            Yannick Bolasie (Everton vs. West Ham) - 6pts

GW11: Marcos Alonso (Chelsea vs. Everton) - 13pts

GW12: Harry Kane (Spurs vs. West Ham) - 13pts

GW13: Gylfi Sigurdsson (Swansea vs. Crystal Palace) - 10pts

GW14: Christian Eriksen (Spurs vs. Swansea) - 18pts

GW15: Gylfi Sigurdsson (Swansea vs. Sunderland) - 13pts

GW16: Divock Origi (Middlesbrough vs. Liverpool) - 11pts

GW17: Patrick van Aanholt (Sunderland vs. Watford) - 15pts

GW18: Andy Carroll (Swansea vs. West Ham) - 8pts

            Troy Deeney (Watford vs. Crystal Palace) - 8pts

GW19: Andre Gray (Burnley vs Sunderland) - 17pts

GW20: Leighton Baines (Everton vs. Southampton) - 15pts

            Dele Alli (Spurs vs. Chelsea) - 15pts

            Olivier Giroud (Bournemouth vs. Arsenal) - 15pts

GW21: Marcos Alonso (Leicester vs. Chelsea) - 21pts

GW22: Andy Carroll (Middlesbrough vs. West Ham) - 13pts

GW23: Gylfi Sigurdsson (Swansea vs. Southampton) - 13pts

GW24: Troy Deeney (Watford vs. Burnley) - 7pts

GW25: Manolo Gabbiadini (Sunderland vs. Southampton) - 13pts

GW26: Patrick van Aanholt (Crystal Palace vs. Middlesbrough) - 15pts

GW27: Fernando Llorente (Swansea vs. Burnley) - 13pts

GW28: Josh King (Bournemouth vs. West Ham) - 18pts

GW29: Manuel Lanzini (West Ham vs. Leicester) - 10pts

GW30: Heung-Min Son (Burnley vs. Spurs) - 7pts

            Leroy Sane (Arsenal vs. Man City) - 7pts

GW31: Mesut Ozil (Arsenal vs. West Ham) - 14pts

GW32: Jan Vertonghen (Spurs vs. Watford) - 6pts

            Eric Bailly (Sunderland vs. Man United) - 6pts

GW33: Phil Jagielka (Everton vs. Burnley) - 11pts

 

 

Gameweek Wildcard History

GW1: 25 points, 2 player returns

Fabianski (8), Townsend (2), Deulofeu (3), Friend (2), Tadic (2), Nolito (1), Callum Wilson (2), Lovren (0), Diego Costa (5)

 

GW2: 25 points, 1 player return

Targett (1), Kolarov (2), Lallana (2), Llorente (2), Vorm (7), Deeney (1), Rondon (2), Cazorla (3), Defoe (2), Kouyate (3)

 

GW3: 26 points, 2 player returns

Janssen (2), Terry (6), C. Benteke (2), Lukaku (2), Huth (4), Fonte (2), Holding (2), Abel Hernandez (2), Stuani (2), Otamendi (2)

 

GW4: 57 points, 5 player returns

Nolito (2), Mustafi (2), C. Wilson (6), Heaton (2), G. Ramirez (0), Bony (2), Antonio (13), Wijnaldum (5), Sigurdsson (8), Lukaku (17)

 

GW5: 37 points, 5 player returns

Oscar (2), Monreal (2), Huth (6), Bravo (6), Lanzini (7), Stekelenburg (-1), Rooney (1), Benteke (2), Tadic (6), Lloris (6)

 

GW6: 32 points, 2 player returns

Huth (-1), Bolasie (2), Matip (2), Hueng-Min Son (15), Chadli (1), Mandanda (1), Kolarov (1), Walcott (8), Lanzini (1), Deeney (2)

 

GW7: 46 points, 5 player returns

Christian Benteke (5), Karius (2), David Luiz (6), van Aanholt (7), Deeney (9), Downing (2), Rashford (2), Austin (2), Dele Alli (8), Iwobi (3)

 

GW8: 36 points, 4 player returns

Slimani (1), Sigurdsson (9), Callum Wilson (9), Nolito (6), Arnautovic (5), Danny Rose (0), Christian Benteke (-1), Deeney (2), Forster (2), Milner (3)

 

GW9: 35 points, 2 player returns

Dele Alli (2), Mustafi (5), Stekelenburg (1), Joe Allen (2), Huth (2), Sigurdsson (2), Reid (14), Matip (2), Austin (2), Moses (3)

 

GW10: 24 points, 2 player returns

Monreal (0), Smalling (0), Adama Traore (3), Alli (2), Deeney (2), Bravo (6), Christian Benteke (2), Bolasie (6), Redmond (2), Pieters (1)

 

GW11: 39 points, 3 player returns

Wilshere (2), Keane (1), Gundogan (3), Bony (2), Alonso (13), Kane (8), Fonte (1), Matip (2), Sigurdsson (5), Zieler (2)

 

GW12: 57 points, 6 player returns

Monreal (2), Zaha (6), Coleman (9), Karius (6), Martins Indi (2), van Aanholt (10), Musa (1), Kane (13), Alonso (6), Vokes (2)

 

GW13: 42 points, 5 player returns

Yaya Toure (2), Phillips (5), Simpson (4), Matip (6), Sigurdsson (10), Alonso (2), Deeney (2), Mustafi (1), Mata (2), Soares (8)

 

GW14: 55 points, 5 player returns

Pedro (1), Zaha (2), Eriksen (18), Glen Johnson (7), Anichebe (2), Phillips (9), Lanzini (2), Origi (6), Coleman (2), Valdes (6)

 

GW15: 45 points, 5 player returns

Deeney (2), Monreal (2), Ake (1), Benteke (6), Sigurdsson (13), David Silva (5), Alonso (6), Rose (1), Bertrand (0), Origi (9)

 

GW16: 41 points, 5 player returns

Slimani (1), Gabriel (1), Origi (11), Alonso (7), Randolph (8), Zaha (2), Iheanacho (0), Lloris (8), Arnautovic (-2), Phillips (5)

 

GW17: 42 points, 4 player returns

Alonso (6), Llorente (2), Glen Johnson (0), van Aanholt (15), Cresswell (7), Phillips (2), Boufal (1), Oxlade-Chamberlain (1), Lloris (2), Mignolet (6)

 

GW18: 44 points, 5 player returns

Deeney (8), Monreal (1), Andre Gray (7), Alonso (6), Slimani (2), Phil Jones (2), Carroll (8), David Silva (6), Mignolet (2), Jay Rodriguez (2)

 

GW19: 50 points, 5 player returns

Mirallas (6), Gray (17), Alonso (3), Ayew (2), Jones (0), Forster (1), Ake (8), Milner (3), Lloris (2), Giroud (8)

 

GW20: 63 points, 5 player returns

Valdes (0), Baines (15), David Silva (0), Klavan (1), Brunt (8), Carroll (1), Giroud (15), Townsend (1), Pieters (7), Alli (15)

 

GW21: 65 points, 6 player returns

Vertonghen (6), Gray (2), Stanislas (7), Grant (2), Sigurdsson (2), Deeney (1), Carroll (5), Alonso (21), Barkley (9), Milner (10)

 

GW22: 46 points, 5 player returns

Mignolet (1), Stanislas (2), Barkley (3), Carroll (13), Arnautovic (2), Dawson (6), Wimmer (0), Yoshida (6), Mustafi (7), David Luiz (6)

 

GW23: 39 points, 4 player returns

Ozil (2), Stanislas (2), Gray (2), Brunt (2), Lloris (0), Sigurdsson (13), Milner (4), De Bruyne (8), Phil Jones (1), Coleman (5)

 

GW24: 29 points, 3 player returns

David Luiz (2), van Aanholt (0), Tom Davies (1), Milner (1), Jack Stephens (1), Deeney (7), Chadli (6), Ben Davies (6), Sane (2), Schmeichel (3)

 

GW25: 43 points, 4 player returns

Rannochia (0), Mkhitaryan (3), Robles (7), Crouch (2), Gabbiadini (13), Chadli (6), Wijnaldum (7), David Luiz (2), Llorente (2), Gabriel Jesus (1)

 

GW26: 38 points, 4 player returns (from 8 matches)

David Luiz (1), van Aanholt (15), Robles (6), Markovic (0), Chadli (5), Deeney (9), Heung-Min Son (1), Matip (1)

 

GW27: 72 points, 9 player returns (from 11 matches)

Bailly (0), Fuchs (9), Martins Indi (6, 6), Llorente (13), Gabbiadini (5), Chadli (2), Wijnaldum (8), Davies (5), Sane (10, 2), Pedro (6)

 

GW28: 32 points, 3 player returns (from 4 matches)

Josh King (18), Robles (6), Llorente (1), Wijnaldum (7)

 

GW29: 46 points, 5 player returns

Mustafi (1), Mamadou Sakho (9), Robles (6), David Luiz (7), Andre Gray (2), Lanzini (10), Josh King (8), Mkhitaryan (0), Gabbiadini (1), Wijnaldum (2)

 

GW30: 40 points, 6 player returns

Wijnaldum (2), Rojo (5), David Luiz (0), Carroll (6), Deeney (0), Fuchs (5), Son (7), Tadic (3), Mawson (5), Sane (7)

 

GW31: 52 points, 6 player returns

Keane (9), Fuchs (7), Holebas (6), Robles (1), Ozil (14), Niasse (6), Bertrand (0), Vertonghen (2), Sane (2), Wijnaldum (5)

 

GW32: 33 points, 4 player returns

Vertonghen (6), De Bruyne (0), Keane (5), Origi (2), Redmond (3), Lanzini (2), David Luiz (2), Bailly (6), Barkley (5), Ozil (2)

 

GW33: 45 points, 5 player returns

Vertonghen (6), Christian Benteke (6), Jagielka (11), Berahino (1), Carroll (5), Niang (2), Sane (8), Wijnaldum (3), David Luiz (1), Monreal (2)

 

 

WILDCARDS: HALL OF FAME

To honour the exceptional diamonds in the rough, below is a a Hall of Fame highlighting last season's top performing wildcards, as well as the best individual points returners from this season.

 

2015/16: Top 5 Wildcards
1 - Troy Deeney (WAT) (P15) (77pts)
2 - Christian Fuchs (LEI) (P10) (48pts)
3 - Gylfi Sigurdsson (SWA) (P6) (43pts)
4 - Nicolas Otamendi (MCI) (P9) (39pts)
5 - Daniel Sturridge (LIV) (P5) (38pts)

 

FPL Wildcards: Our Best Individual Wildcard Points Returns

1 - Marcos Alonso (Chelsea): 21pts (GW21)

2 - Christian Eriksen (Spurs): 18pts (GW14)

2 - Josh King (Bournemouth): 18pts (GW28)

4 - Romelu Lukaku (Everton): 17pts (GW4)

4 - Andre Gray (Burnley): 17pts (GW19)

6 - Hueng-Min Son (Spurs): 15pts (GW6)

6 - Patrick van Aanholt (Sunderland): 15pts (GW17)

6 - Leighton Baines (Everton) - 15pts (GW20)

6 - Dele Alli (Spurs) - 15pts (GW20)

6 - Olivier Giroud (Arsenal) - 15pts (GW20)

6 - Patrick van Aanholt (Crystal Palace): 15pts (GW26)

 

 

FPL DREAM TEAM ANALYSIS: GAMEWEEK 33

Wildcards: Gomes, Kompany, Jagielka, Mariappa, Collins, Shaqiri, Herrera, Arnautovic, De Bruyne

Non Wildcards: Kane, Firmino

 

Points achieved by Wildcards: 102pts

Points achieved by Non-Wildcards: 23pts

 

 

GAMEWEEK WILDCARD DIFFERENTIALS

  • For each FPL Gameweek we select a wildcard player from each game.

  • We do not select a back-up player for the differentials we bank on – that’s the whole point, being a wildcard.

  • The selection percentage and player price is accurate with the posting of the article.

  • Our rundowns of player selections are representative of the Premier League’s TV fixture list.

     

 

Weekly Wildcards: FPL Gameweek 34

BOU/MID: Benik Afobe (BOU, FW, £5.5mil, 2.4% ownership)

HUL/WAT: Oumar Niasse (HUL, FW, £5.6mil, 0.6% ownership)
SWA/STK: Xherdan Shaqiri (STK, MID, £6.0mil, 3.0% ownership)

WHU/EVE: Phil Jagielka (EVE, DEF, £4.8mil, 6.5% ownership)
BUR/MUN: Eric Bailly (MUN, DEF, £5.4mil, 7.3% ownership) 

LIV/CRY: Georginio Wijnaldum (LIV, MID, £7.5mil, 1.7% ownership)
CHE/SOU: Pedro (CHE, MID, £6.9mil, 7.4% ownership)
ARS/LEI: Mesut Ozil (ARS, MID, £9.4mil, 6.0% ownership)

MID/SUN: Antonio Barragan (MID, DEF, £4.4mil, 1.2% ownership)
CRY/TOT: Andros Townsend (CRY, MID, £5.8mil, 2.5% ownership)
MCI/MUN: Kevin De Bruyne (MCI, MID, £10.4mil, 6.7% ownership)

 

Here at The Hype Train there is very little to be hyped about for this double gameweek, people are bending over backwards and playing their wildcards for this set of fixtures and we are scratching our heads in confusion as to why you would even bother considering it. The problem we have seen is that the teams who play twice are not in favourable positions and wasting wildcards or dropping points is just too risky to consider. Chelsea have a comfortable home game; Liverpool and Spurs are against Crystal Palace which should deplete the Eagles, Lukaku returns to haunt West Ham, the Manchester 'derby' takes place, and when you look through the cracks of the gameweek you see an absolute gem of a fixture between Hull and Watford which is being massively overlooked due to everything else going on this week. There should be no reason for drastic change this week, especially because the more important gameweek in GW37 includes assets from Spurs and Chelsea, just in summary this double gameweek looks as if it may be very irrelevant and just be a giant trap for FPL managers to make silly choices.

 

It is business as usual with us at The Hype Train because each fixture must be looked at in regard to the 'best' differential option to have in your team. That is where Afobe, De Bruyne, and Wijnaldum come into play. All of them are superior options for the individual fixtures, that is the blunt reality of it. You'd fancy Wijnaldum resuming his magnificent home run, De Bruyne scoring in both 'derbies', and Afobe netting against Boro than just plain hoping that your double gameweek differentials pay-off. Afobe is a better option than Negredo in this fixture for example, you would be conflicted about having the Spaniard in your team for any fixture, and there are never any guarantees in the 'derby', and Liverpool have started grinding out results. 

 

The option of the Hull game is a big one, we are really excited about the potential of Marco Silva's Tigers whenever they play at home. Oumar Niasse has been a pivotal part of their fight for survival, so expect him to be among the goals tomorrow. Watford have their forty points so this might lead to the Hornets being less inclined to play for a result (it happens, look at Crystal Palace a few seasons ago under Pardew as a prime example). Niasse is just one example of great options being overlooked, like Ozil and Shaqiri racking up serious points but not even being considered as legitimate options against teams who can't defend. The last notable mention goes to Pedro, just because Chelsea will win this match, and he must return sooner rather than later, he is the risky pick because there isn't a lot of buzz around the Spaniard, but the beauty of any differential is that they can turn it on in a second’s notice.

Here is our take on the three players we have chosen for the double gameweek.


Double Gameweek 34 Players: Townsend, Barragan, and Bailly

Picking three differentials that you could have for this game was tougher than it looked, mostly because of the fear of rotation. All three managers of Boro, Palace, and United have all said they would utilise their whole squad. The key question to ask yourself is: is this player expendable within the team? If the answer if yes then they are not a double gameweek options. In relation to our three picks Townsend has been instrumental in wins over Chelsea and Arsenal recently and is also on some of the set-piece responsibility, I can see Palace not wanting to rotate their team so that they can keep their momentum going on their culling of top six teams. Townsend has four FPL returns from his last six fixtures and is making life easy for Zaha and Benteke, so there is no way that Big Sam is going to drop the winger from his team.

 

It is even easier for the explanation of the defensive duo of Barragan and Bailly...they are key pieces of their respective defences. I can't imagine either Boro or Man United defence without these two players, and usually you'll see less rotation from central defenders. Bailly and Barragan have got solid minutes under their belts in the past six weeks so their places won't be under threat. Barragan is cheap, and Bailly is mysteriously earning points without even playing well. Both teams are in the same vein too, they will be expected by their managers to keep it tight away from home so there is potential for these two players to pick up a good amount of points in GW34. 

 

 

Want to know more about The Hype Train?

The Hype Train is an entertainment website founded in 2015 specialising in the Fantasy Premier League (#FPL), providing beautiful graphics and weekly insight for hopeful players attempting to climb ranking tables. We are also occasional media reviewers, with a keen interest to review movies, television, live music, festivals, and any relevant topic in the public eye.

 

You can follow us on Twitter, Like us on Facebook, or visit our website at www.thehypetrain.co.uk

 

For all FPL Gameweek build up, check out the Weekly Hype page now.

 

All aboard.

 

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