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Premier League 2020/21: FPL Gameweek 4 Fantasy Forecast

October 2, 2020

 

Ahead of each Gameweek in the Premier League, The Hype Train's team, Robert Austin, Sam Austin and Phil Jones, duel for FPL and league supremacy in predicting Premier League scores, as well as going head to head in picking a Scout Picks squad for each round of games. With the 2020/21 Premier League season starting tomorrow, we provide our Gameweek 1 Forecast predictions, speculating how we think the first round of games will be played out. Welcome to the Forecast. All aboard.

 

Premier League 2020/21: Gameweek 4 Fixtures

After a record breaking number of goals during Gameweek 2, a week later we have an exact same format of fixtures, with games split across three days from Saturday afternoon to Monday evening, ending with Arsenal visiting Liverpool at Anfield.

 

 

Premier League 2020/21: FPL Gameweek 4 Forecast

Enjoy our FPL Forecast article, with each of our team forecasting how we think the Premier League will shape up this upcoming Gameweek. If you agree or want to challenge us on our point of view, get in touch with us on our main Twitter account, @RealHypeTrain.

 

 

Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 4

Chelsea 1-2 Crystal Palace

Everton 2-0 Brighton

Leeds 1-3 Man City

Newcastle 0-0 Burnley

Leicester 4-0 West Ham

Southampton 1-0 West Brom

Arsenal 3-0 Sheffield United

Wolves 2-0 Fulham

Man United 1-1 Spurs

Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool

 

FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 4

 

Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:

Everton (Watch): Ugh, I can’t believe I am saying this, but the Toffees form cannot be avoided. They are scoring goals, and under Ancelotti something has changed for the blue half of Merseyside. Not a single thing makes sense this season. Hosting Brighton you’d expect that Everton will continue their amazing form.

 

Leicester (Watch): The Foxes were amazing against City, especially after Rodri and Fernandinho where called the most solid midfield in the Premier League after their performance against Wolves. I wished I put Castagne in my wildcard team, and with West Ham at the KP it will be another productive week for Brendan Rodgers team.

 

Chelsea (Avoid): After a busy transfer window, and getting in Mendy from France, the start of the season hasn’t exactly been a signal of intent from the Blues. This has been their second most expensive transfer window to date, and there are clearly teething problems under Lampard’s watch. If you believe in stats, then you will like to know that the Blues have won the last five league games against the Eagles, but with the form they are in, that streak could come to an end.

 

Manchester United & Spurs (Coin Toss): I am doing something new, when I think there is a fixture too close to call, it goes up to coin toss because anything can happen. This fixture is that. Spurs and United both won their EFL Cup games midweek, and there are still question marks over their ability to reach the next level. They are the same team in the same game.

 

How did your first Wildcard of the season go?:

Abysmally. 26pts, and Salah got a third of my teams points as captain. The only return was the Salah assist versus Arsenal, and all the hot topic players that I put in where woeful this week. Son (TOT) who got 22pts last week only got the 1pt in GW3 and then was subbed at half time, Podence who was going into the week was a great budget option who had two consecutive returns, and he didn’t even play, with a mysterious shoulder injury cursing him. The second I put Mitrovic in my team Fulham turned into the worst attacking team in the league, and everyone else who went in followed that trend. I literally had the nightmare Gameweek, particularly because it was a wildcard that was played to achieve it.

 

Gameweek 4 – FPL Differential Picks:

As ever I provide ten players who fly under the radar that could be a big hit this week. There are lots of clear-cut fixture this week, so it is easy to trust a lot of teams.

 

CHE/CRY: Mason Mount (CHE, MID, £6.9mil, 7.5% ownership)

EVE/BHA: Michael Keane (EVE, DEF, £5.0mil, 4.3% ownership)

LEE/MCI: Raheem Sterling (MCI, MID, £11.5mil, 6.2% ownership)

NEW/BUR: Karl Darlow (NEW, GK, £5.0mil, 1.0% ownership)

LEI/WHU: Harvey Barnes (LEI, MID, £7.0mil, 5.7% ownership)

SOU/WBA: Jan Bednarek (SOU, DEF, £4.5mil, 2.2% ownership)

ARS/SHU: Alexandre Lacazette (ARS, FWD, £8.5mil, 5.4% ownership)

WOL/FUL: Nélson Semedo (WOL, DEF, £5.5mil, 0.9% ownership)

MUN/TOT: Steven Bergwijn (TOT, MID, £7.5mil, 0.6% ownership)

AVL/LIV: Roberto Firmino (LIV, FWD, £9.4mil, 3.0% ownership)

 

Differential Captain: Alexandre Lacazette (Arsenal)

This one was easy to pick as Sheffield United are in the clutches of the dreaded second season syndrome. Worse yet, the French Gunner has scored in all three games of the new season, registering 7pts in three consecutive games. A triple seven is immensely good luck to bank on, so we are going for the Arsenal forward to continue the winning streak.

 

FPL Scout Picks: Gameweek 4

Formation: 3-4-3

 

Starting 11

 

GK: Alex McCarthy (SOU)

 

DEF: Timothy Castagne (LEI)

DEF: Andrew Robertson (LIV)

DEF: Michael Keane (EVE)

 

MID: Mohamad Salah (LIV)

MID: Kevin De Bruyne (MCI)

MID: Wilfried Zaha (CRY)

MID: James Rodriguez (EVE)

 

FOR: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (EVE)

FOR: Jamie Vardy (LEI)

FOR: Alexandre Lacazette (ARS)

 

Substitutes

 

GK: Karl Darlow (NUFC)

MID: Andros Townsend (CRY)

DEF: Kieran Tierney (ARS)

DEF: Gabriel (ARS)

 

 

Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 4

Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace

Everton 3-2 Brighton

Leeds 2-2 Man City

Newcastle 2-0 Burnley

Leicester 3-1 West Ham

Southampton 2-1 West Brom

Arsenal 5-0 Sheffield United

Wolves 3-0 Fulham

Man United 1-2 Spurs

AstonVilla 1-4 Liverpool

 

FPL Scout Picks: Gameweek 4

Formation: 3-4-3

 

Starting 11

 

GK: Karl Darlow

DEF: Romain Saiss

DEF: Reece James

DEF: Timothy Castagne

 

MID: P.E. Aubameyang (VC)

MID: Mo Salah (C)

MID: Raheem Sterling

MID: Kai Havertz

 

FOR: Jamie Vardy

FOR: Dominic Calvert-Lewin

FOR: Alexandre Lacazette

 

Substitutes

 

GK: Alex Mccarthy

MID: Leandro Trossard

DEF: Virgil Van Dijk

DEF: Kyle Walker-Peters

 

 

Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 4

Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace

Everton 2-0 Brighton

Leeds 1-4 Man City

Newcastle 0-1 Burnley

Leicester 3-1 West Ham

Southampton 2-0 West Brom

Arsenal 1-0 Sheffield United

Wolves 2-0 Fulham

Man United 1-1 Spurs

Aston Villa 1-3 Liverpool

 

FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 4

 

Top FPL player targets this weekend:

With Gameweek 4 being the last before an international break, my only advice is to take it ‘one week at a time’, so my picks and insight will exclusively look at one-week options that look good on paper.

 

In goal, Pickford (EVE), McCarthy (SOU), Leno (ARS) and Patricio (WOL) stand out as clean sheet contenders. Alisson (LIV), Ederson (MCI) and Nick Pope (BUR) are all big money shot-stoppers that have favourable fixtures, so they’d be my go-to picks.

 

Defensively, Castagne (LEI) and Justin (LEI) are solid picks, whilst Saiss (WOL) deserves a second roll of the dice. Liverpool and Ciy offer predictable points this week, though Burnley might fancy a clean sheet against an out-of-sorts Newcastle side that have only mustered a couple shots on target all season.

 

In the middle, any host of Leicester midfielders – Maddison, Barnes, Tielemans – will find pockets to exploit West Ham, whilst Adama Traore (WOL) will be primed against Wolves. Aubameyang (ARS), Salah (LIV), Mane (LIV), and De Bruyne (MCI) are the leading men this upcoming weekend.

 

In attack, you have some predictable options in Ings (SOU), Jimenez (WOL), Vardy (LEI) if fit, Calvert-Lewin (EVE) all up for top-billing, whilst Timo Werner (CHE) will surely at some point, right? Lacazette (ARS), Wood (BUR), Kane (TOT) and Firmino (LIV) are all next in line, though I’m not sure I’d spend a transfer to get any of them in for a short-term move.

 

Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:

Burnley (Watch) and Newcastle (Avoid): As a Toon supporter I am not looking forward to this game. No football fan should be as the amount of football played is likely to be minimal. Newcastle have been woeful in a handful of games this season, whilst Burnley haven’t offered much of anything. Chris Wood is probably the most dangerous player on the pitch, so I’ll add a goal in Burnley’s favour in what many is expecting to be the match that sends them to bed early on Saturday evening.

 

Leeds (Avoid): I’m still not convinced by Leeds. They look like any decent team will slice their defensive line to shreds, whilst Sheffield United had absolute no attacking prowess against them last weekend. Yes, they have cheap option, but just like Norwich and this ‘Pukki Patch’ of form, I’m expecting returns to gradually diminish until players are trying to find a cheap replacement for Bamford up top. Oh yeah, and they’re playing a Man City side that are spending ridiculous sums on central defenders still – it’ll be a hard ask of any Leeds outfit in history to stop City’s vast wealth from rolling through Yorkshire without the points.

 

Man City (Watch): See above. Money talks. City have a lot of it and their absurd spending on defenders continues. People should stop with how much VVD cost at Liverpool – City have trebled that at least and can’t seem to pick a good egg in a half-dozen central defenders.

 

Brighton (Watch Out): Brighton were superb in their first away game, and even though I think they’ll lose to Everton, they run the risk of a shock on the cards that will have FPL players turning in their sleep. Graham Potter’s side have had difficult home games, but on the road looked comfortable and assured, especially when on the counter with Trossard, Lamptey and Maupay.

 

Wolves (Watch): Any team going up against Fulham look a goal threat. Adama Traore should have a lot of fun and I’m expecting Raul Jimenez to chip in with a few goals.

 

Southampton (Watch): See above. Just replace ‘Raul Jimenez’ with Danny Ings.

 

Crystal Palace (Watch): Chelsea have spent a tonne of money, but have very little to show for it. The visit of Crystal Palace highlights that money doesn’t buy you success, with Palace coming at a fraction of the cost, but playing the better football to start the season. Chelsea will have a very hard game if they haven’t sorted out their defenders – Palace have been ticking all the right boxes going forward.

 

How did your first Wildcard of the season go?:

Only managed 33 points and it was a nightmare of a week - it seemed to be that way for millions of people. My team is in a ‘healthier’ state if you can say that. My learning curve has been that season will be a week-to-week test of patience and a campaign that will most likely lead to several huge points hits on transfers. I’m still sure I made the right choice, but life doesn’t always go to plan – I’m a Newcastle fan as well as owning/running my own football team – there are bigger battles that put FPL woes into perspective.

 

Just might be the way given you can’t plan ahead in FPL this season, a lot of frantic changes due to the uncertain times we live in, much to the chagrin of all of those fantasy football content creators that charge money for the luxury of telling you who you should have in your team, without knowing better themselves.

 

 

Gameweek 4 - FPL Captaincy Picks:

Essential: Kevin De Bruyne (MCI)

Alternative: Raul Jimenez (WOL)

Differential: Alexandre Lacazette (ARS)

 

Other Gameweek Comments:

The rigid pricing structure has already shown itself to be true – players are not going down in price that should be. Players are rising in price with very few transfers in. I’m utterly convinced Dave from the office makes a morning coffee and just decides who goes up and down as there is no logic to track why it took Werner three weeks to drop in price once. The game wants to keep prices high, it’s as simple as that and it’s been un upward curve for years.

 

I’m also at the stage of the season (already) where I want to throw up my dinner seeing how toxic some of the alleged ‘FPL Community’ are, especially on Twitter – this game isn’t The Hunger Games or The Purge, even If I wish it was at times, there’s a good chance you’ll still be alive come tomorrow morning. Yet, every decision has become over-dramatised and satirical beyond belief to the point that I don’t know if these people and accounts feel the need to scream louder than one another, or if this community needs its own ‘Big Brother’ style television show where they put the inmates in the asylum and let them battle it out for our entertainment.

 

On the football front, I am very eager to watch Man City’s trip to Leeds, though I feel like it will be eye-opening for the home side. The Gameweek ends strong too with Jose Mourinho vs. Man United and Liverpool going to Villa, the fixture that riled up the anti-VAR community after Martin Atkinson re-drew the lines to rule out a perfectly good Roberto Firmino goal in a game that Sadio Mane won at the death for the eventual champions.

 

FPL Scout Picks: Gameweek 4

Formation: 4-3-3

 

Starting 11

 

GK: Alex McCarthy (SOU)

 

DEF: Trent Alexander-Arnold (LIV)

DEF: Romain Saiss (WOL)

DEF: Michael Keane (EVE)

DEF: James Justin (LEI)

 

MID: Adama Traore (WOL)

MID: Kevin De Bruyne (MCI) - (C)

MID: Mohamed Salah (LIV)

 

FOR: Raul Jimenez (WOL) - (VC)

FOR: Danny Ings (SOU)

FOR: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (EVE)

 

Substitutes

 

GK: Mat Ryan (BHA)

MID: Stuart Armstrong (SOU)

MID: Andros Townsend (CRY)

DEF: Jimmy Dunne (BUR)

 

 

Want to know more about The Hype Train?

The Hype Train is an entertainment website founded in 2015, specialising in Fantasy sports reporting, starting with Fantasy Premier League (FPL), before expanding to MLS Fantasy coverage in 2018.

 

We pride ourselves in providing beautiful graphics, statistics, in-depth analytical reporting and free weekly insight for hopeful players attempting to climb rankings tables. We are also occasional media reviewers, with a keen interest to review games, live sport, and professional wrestling.

 

In 2019, Hype Train Football Club was formed, becoming the first Fantasy Football website to take to the field. HTFC is a socially active team across social and web channels, providing regular match highlights, match reports, comprehensive player statistics and unique player profiles. We won both Goal of the Season Awards in the Berkshire and County FA regions, with Callum Parr-Jones winning the Berks & Bucks FA award, whilst Martin King won the PlaySport UK award.

 

The Hype Train were nominated and shortlisted for the 'Best Football Blog' in 2016 by the Football Bloggers Association at their annual Football Blogging Awards (The FBA's), and were again shortlisted as a finalist in 2019 in the 'Best Fantasy Football Blog' category.

 

You can follow us on Twitter, Like us on Facebook, follow Hype Train FC on Instagram, subscribe to our YouTube channel for exclusive content, or visit our website here at www.thehypetrain.co.uk

 

All aboard.

 

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