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Premier League 2022/23 Season: FPL Fantasy Forecast - Gameweek 11



Ahead of each Gameweek in the Premier League, The Hype Train's team - Robert Austin, Sam Austin, and Phil Jones - provide a rundown of the upcoming round of games in the Premier League; predicting scores for every game, picking a budgeted squad of 15 players that we think are the top selections each week, whilst ee also comb over other relevant statistics, impressions and insight from around the game and the league to best navigate you through the world of fantasy football, all for free. Welcome to the Forecast. All aboard.


Premier League: Gameweek 11 Fixtures:


2022/23 Premier League Season: Fixture Predictions

Below, our score predictions pit the train's three members against one another. Let's find out how they think the Gameweek will shape up for teams.



2022/23 Premier League Season: Fantasy Forecast

The team go through a list of questions and insight to provide their predictions ahead of each Gameweek. None of the team pay for any subscription based FPL services, and the type of opinions here are based in both stats and analytical thinking where possible, as we tackle the latest round of games.



2022/23 Premier League Season: Gameweek Fantasy Forecast (Sam Austin)


Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 11

Brentford 1-2 Brighton

Leicester 3-1 Crystal Palace

Fulham 2-0 Bournemouth

Wolves 1-0 Nottingham Forest

Spurs 3-0 Everton

Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea

Leeds 1-3 Arsenal

Man United 2-1 Newcastle

Southampton 1-2 West Ham

Liverpool 2-2 Man City


FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 11


Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:

Leicester (Watch): The Foxes have the perfect game to get back on track, and this is just a gut calls, but I can see them picking up their second win of the season. James Maddison is in blinding form, but their defence needs to improve. Palace won their last game, so it will be a tight affair, but I think there will be a surprise in this match.


Liverpool & Man City (???): Liverpool are going to be in the uncertainty category a lot this season, as they are flip-flopping into raw, uncontained chaos. One week they’ll tie the scoring record in a Premier League game, and then letting a paper bag get through their defence the next game. That said, Liverpool have just won a Champions League game 7-1 away to Rangers; with Salah, Nunez, Jota, and Firmino all contributing to goals. Salah being benched and coming on to score a hat-trick is exactly what he needed. On the other hand you have the wrecking ball that is Erling Haaland, and the surgeon that is Kevin De Bruyne. It’ll be another great game, and last season both these teams recorded 2-2 draws against each other in both games, so there is a good chance it may be repeated.


Newcastle (Avoid): Man United have been scoring lots of goals, and I can see Newcastle loitering in this game. The Red Devils have won four out of their last five games, whilst Newcastle have won their last two games. This will be a good game between two teams who sit next to each other in the table, I just think that with Anthony in scoring form and the home factor, that I wouldn’t be looking at the Newcastle defence with confidence this week.


Top FPL player targets ahead of Gameweek 11:

GK: Hugo Lloris (TOT, GK, £5.5mil, 5.5% ownership)

DEF: Marc Cucurella (CHE, DEF, £5.1mil, 8.9% ownership)

MID: Anthony (MUN, MID, £7.6mil, 8.5% ownership)

FWD: Harry Kane (TOT, FWD, £11.4mil, 20.2% ownership)


Gameweek 11 - FPL Differential Picks:

BRE/BHA: Alexis Mac Allister (BHA, MID, £5.7mil, 6.8% ownership)

LEI/CRY: Patson Daka (LEI, FWD, £5.7mil, 1.2% ownership)

FUL/BOU: Dominic Solanke (BOU, FWD, £5.7mil, 1.8% ownership)

WOL/NFO: Diego Costa (FWD, WOL, £5.5mil, 0.6% ownership)

TOT/EVE: Cristian Romero (TOT, DEF, £4.9mil, 1.6% ownership)

AVL/CHE: Mason Mount (CHE, MID, £7.6mil, 4.2% ownership)

LEE/ARS: Ben White (ARS, DEF, £4.5mil, 5.9% ownership)

MUN/NEW: Anthony (MUN, MID, £7.6mil, 8.5% ownership)

SOU/WHU: Jarrod Bowen (WHU, MID, £8.2mil, 5.2% ownership)

LIV/MCI: Darwin Nunez (MCI, FWD, £8.8mil, 5.5% ownership)


Differential Captain: Jarrod Bowen (West Ham)

So, the nightmare continues for differential captains. You may remember that I said two Gameweeks ago that Luis Sinisterra (LEE) would be a great differential captain, and if you followed my advice, you would have gotten a -4pts. For GW10 I said that Pierre Emerick Aubameyang (CHE) would be a fantastic option as Chelsea finally have a goal scoring forward, and then Graham Potter benched both him and Thiago Silva for the midweek Champions League games.


We’re going in a different direction for GW11, this time we are selecting a player that will be guaranteed to start and is in form. The Hammers have won their last two games, and Bowen has started every game, and only been subbed off once in GW2 against Forest. The English winger has only missed six minutes of Premier League action this season, and in his last two games has amassed 21pts with two goals and one assist. The London team travel to the south coast to take on Southampton who don’t even understand the concept of what a defence is. Hopefully this will correct the last two differential captains which have been outright disasters.


FPL Captaincy Picks:

Essential: Gabriel Jesus (ARS)

Alternative: Erling Haaland (MCI)

Differential (low ownership %): Jarrod Bowen (WHU)



Rest of the World XI Challenge Team:

What is Sam’s team all about?: For the 22/23 season, Sam’s latest challenge sees his actual squad only being comprised of players from outside of Europe, with players only from Asia, North and South America, Australasia, and Africa considered.


Target Points: 2330pts

Total Points: 417pts

22/23 Captaincy: 4/9


Ins: Darwin Nunez (LIV), Anthony (MUN)

Outs: Richarlison (TOT), Luis Diaz (LIV)


Transfer Thoughts: Anthony has a perfect run so far in the FPL, with three returns from three, so he was a straight swap for an unfortunately injured Diaz. Darwin comes in for Richarlison, with the Brazilian dropped in the last league game, so I am opting to buff up the Liverpool assets to replace Diaz. Darwin has three consecutive starts in all competitions and scored against Arsenal in GW10 and notched again in midweek against Rangers. Nunez is finding his feet at Liverpool, and it will be interesting to see the battle between him and Haaland.


The Gameweek 11 team of the non-EU challenge includes:


22/23 Challenge: Rest of the World XI

GW11 Formation: 3-4-3


GK: Ederson (MCI)


DEF: Thiago Silva (CHE)

DEF: Kalidou Koulibaly (CHE)

DEF: Pervis Estupiñán (BHA)


MID: Gabriel Martinelli (ARS)

MID: Wilfried Zaha (CRY)

MID: Anthony (MUN)

MID: Mohamad Salah (LIV) - (VC)


FWD: Gabriel Jesus (ARS) - (C)

FWD: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (CHE)

FWD: Darwin Nunez (LIV)


Substitutes:


GK: Wily Caballero (SOU)

MID: Miguel Almirón (NEW)

DEF: Lisandro Martinez (MUN)

DEF: Mohammed Salisu (SOU)



2022/23 Premier League Season: Gameweek Fantasy Forecast (Robert Austin)


Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 11

Brentford 1-1 Brighton

Leicester 2-2 Crystal Palace

Fulham 2-1 Bournemouth

Wolves 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Spurs 2-0 Everton

Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea

Leeds 1-1 Arsenal

Man United 1-2 Newcastle

Southampton 1-1 West Ham

Liverpool 2-3 Man City


FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 11


I played my Wildcard during Gameweek 10:

And it blew up in my face. Reece James and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang were rotated for Chelsea. Taking out Arsenal assets (Martinelli) in particular hurt. A total of 53 points was low considering the average was 58 points, but that is life sometimes. It doesn’t go your way. I planned for a stretch of games leading up to the Gameweek 16 deadline prior to the start of the World Cup, so hopefully there can a revival in the next few weeks, but with Gameweek 11 looking a very tricky set of fixtures, there is a bit of concern.


What are the potential stumbling blocks to a good Gameweek?:

- Liverpool and Man City cancelling each other out, lowering the points averages.

- Man United and Newcastle, similarly, locking out points for teams in an unpredictable fixture.

- Expected rotation from teams playing in Europe, knowing that there are even more midweek games upcoming.


Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:

Liverpool (Avoid, clearly): A 7-1 away win at Rangers doesn’t cover up the massive cracks of a Liverpool team that for the first time in years, are struggling to keep pace with the relentless machine at Man City. Liverpool have largely underinvested in their squad, and have sold or let go of a chunk of squad players, which means they’ve been unable to keep up with their high standards when injuries derail Jurgen Klopp’s outfit… All of this means that for the first time, they look in weak shape heading into a City side who should be licking their lips at a potential rare win at Anfield.


Newcastle (don’t underestimate): United have a few players who will cause Newcastle some issues, but the collective team unit at Newcastle, combined with the fact that we have been quite effective against ‘Top 6’ sides this season, means that we aren’t to be overlooked this season. Eddie Howe has his team performing at a high level, and I’m fairly confident of getting a result against a team in the middle of a Europa League group stage campaign.


Spurs (Watch): Given the fixtures, Spurs are the team to watch out for this week as there aren’t any potential barriers for big points in FPL. Everton are just not going to offer that much, if anything, going forward, so will be a case of how many for Spurs if they’re sharp.


Chelsea (Watch): Graham Potter is already showing signs that his Chelsea team are clicking into gear, and even if they have rotated the deck at Villa, they should be fine. Villa though did give Man City a really good game at Villa Park, so even this assumption is walking a fine line.


Nottingham Forest (Avoid): The club have sacked their recruitment department and there is no clear cohesion at the club. Wolves, even without a Manager, should get a win.


Fulham (Cautious): Andreas Pereira is one player who I am probably starting with in my team, but Fulham’s output depends on in Alexsander Mitrovic is fit. If he isn’t, Bournemouth’s run of 5 games without defeat might be extended. Maybe Liverpool need to lose 9-0 so they can replicate a good stretch of form just as The Cherries have done.


Top FPL player targets ahead of Gameweek 11:

Reece James replacements: A premium defender is out of the game for the foreseeable future (hopefully not the World Cup), which opens up a potentially mandatory transfer heading into Gameweek 11 for the 37.4% of FPL players that own James, especially with Arsenal and Man City missing out next Gameweek.


If you’re looking at a one-week move, William Saliba (ARS), Eric Dier (TOT), Joao Cancelo (MCI – if you don’t already have him!), or a straight switch to a potentially rotation-prone Marc Cucarella (CHE) might be worth it.


Going slightly under the radar, Timothy Castagne (LEI) has been past fit and managed 7 points in the defeat to Bournemouth, Lewis Dunk (BHA), Max Kilman (WOL), and Cristian Romero (TOT) all offer a lot of potential value if you’re looking for a left-field punt.


FPL Captaincy Picks:

Essential: Erling Haaland (MCI)

Alternative: Harry Kane (TOT)

Differential: James Maddison (LEI)


FPL Squad Picks: Gameweek 11

Formation: 3-4-3

Budget: £102.1 million


Starting 11


GK: Robert Sanchez (BHA)


DEF: Kieran Trippier (NEW)

DEF: Eric Dier (TOT)

DEF: Joao Cancelo (MCI)


MID: Wilfried Zaha (CRY)

MID: James Maddison (LEI) – (VC)

MID: Gabriel Martinelli (ARS)

MID: Kevin De Bruyne (MCI)


FOR: Callum Wilson (NEW)

FOR: Gabriel Jesus (ARS)

FOR: Erling Haaland (MCI) - (C)


Substitutes


GK: Danny Ward (LEI)

MID: Andreas Pereira (FUL)

DEF: Timothy Castagne (LEI)

DEF: Neco Williams (NFO)



Want to know more about The Hype Train?

The Hype Train is an entertainment website founded in 2015, specialising in general football and Fantasy sports reporting, starting with Fantasy Premier League (FPL), before expanding to MLS Fantasy coverage in 2018.

We pride ourselves in providing beautiful graphics, statistics, in-depth analytical reporting and free weekly insight for hopeful players attempting to climb rankings tables. We are also occasional media reviewers, with a keen interest to review games, live sport, and professional wrestling.

In 2019, Hype Train Football Club was formed, becoming the first Fantasy Football website to take to the field. HTFC is a socially active team across social and web channels, providing regular match highlights, match reports, comprehensive player statistics and unique player profiles. We won both Goal of the Season Awards in the Berkshire and County FA regions, with Callum Parr-Jones winning the Berks & Bucks FA award, whilst Martin King won the PlaySport UK award.


In 2021, we formed the Reading Sunday Social League (RSSL), a competitive Sunday League involving 8 teams in its debut season. During the 2021/22 season, we won our first-ever trophy, lifting the East Berkshire Football League's Presidents Cup!

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