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Premier League 2022/23 Season: FPL Fantasy Forecast - Gameweek 14



Ahead of each Gameweek in the Premier League, The Hype Train's team - Robert Austin, Sam Austin, and Phil Jones - provide a rundown of the upcoming round of games in the Premier League; predicting scores for every game, picking a budgeted squad of 15 players that we think are the top selections each week, whilst ee also comb over other relevant statistics, impressions and insight from around the game and the league to best navigate you through the world of fantasy football, all for free. Welcome to the Forecast. All aboard.


Premier League: Gameweek 14 Fixtures:


2022/23 Premier League Season: Fixture Predictions

Below, our score predictions pit the train's three members against one another. Let's find out how they think the Gameweek will shape up for teams.



2022/23 Premier League Season: Fantasy Forecast

The team go through a list of questions and insight to provide their predictions ahead of each Gameweek. None of the team pay for any subscription based FPL services, and the type of opinions here are based in both stats and analytical thinking where possible, as we tackle the latest round of games.



2022/23 Premier League Season: Gameweek Fantasy Forecast (Sam Austin)


Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 14

Leicester 1-3 Man City

Bournemouth 0-1 Spurs

Brentford 1-2 Wolves

Brighton 0-2 Chelsea

Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton

Newcastle 2-0 Aston Villa

Fulham 1-1 Everton

Liverpool 2-0 Leeds

Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest

Man United 1-1 West Ham


FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 14


Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:

Liverpool (Watch): Leeds are missing 8 senior players in their team which might give the Reds a big advantage in this game.


Newcastle (Watch): After a big win against Spurs, there is no denying that Newcastle are looking for a big season, and a home game against Villa is another opportunity to cement the feeling that they can do something special this year.


Man United (Avoid): I have a feeling they will struggle in this match against West Ham, like when Newcastle recently visited.


Top FPL player targets ahead of Gameweek 14:

GK: Kepa Arrizabalaga (CHE, GK, £4.5mil, 3.7% ownership)

DEF: Virgil van Dijk (LIV, DEF, £6.5mil, 15.1% ownership)

MID: Miguel Almirón (NEW, MID, £5.4mil, 16.8% ownership)

FWD: Harry Kane (TOT, FWD, £11.5mil, 23.7% ownership)


Gameweek 14 - FPL Differential Picks:

LEI/MCI: Harvey Barnes (LEI, MID, £6.9mil, 1.7% ownership)

BOU/TOT: Cristian Romero (TOT, DEF, £4.9mil, 1.7% ownership)

BRE/WOL: Adama Traore (WOL, MID, £5.5mil, 0.3% ownership)

BHA/CHE: Kepa Arrizabalaga (CHE, GK, £4.5mil, 3.7% ownership)

CRY/SOU: Eberechi Eze (CRY, MID, £5.7mil, 4.8% ownership)

NEW/AVL: Bruno Guimarães (NEW, MID, £5.7mil, 5.4% ownership)

FUL/EVE: Alex Iwobi (EVE, MID, £5.5mil, 1.6% ownership)

LIV/LEE: Darwin Nunez (LIV, FWD, £8.8mil, 6.6% ownership)

ARS/NFO: Granit Xhaka (ARS, MID, £5.1mil, 3.9% ownership)

MUN/WHU: Jadon Sancho (MUN, MID, £7.2mil, 4.6% ownership)


Differential Captain: Darwin Nunez (Liverpool)

So, the nightmare continues for differential captains. You may remember that I said in GW9 Luis Sinisterra (LEE) would be a great differential captain, and if you followed my advice, you would have gotten a -4pts. For GW10 I said that Pierre Emerick Aubameyang (CHE) would be a fantastic option as Chelsea finally have a goal scoring forward, and then Graham Potter benched both him and Thiago Silva for the midweek Champions League games, and in GW11 Jarrod Bowen picked up 3pts, and in GW12 Solanke got 2pts.


So, in GW14 we are going for Darwin Nunez of Liverpool. The Reds forward has scored in each of his last five starts and has been Liverpool’s only real outlet currently. This is the best shot of breaking the differential captaincy duck. Leeds are missing a host of players, and Nunez is in form.


FPL Captaincy Picks:

Essential: Erling Haaland (Manchester City)

Alternative: Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Differential (low ownership %): Darwin Nunez (Liverpool)



Rest of the World XI Challenge Team:

What is Sam’s team all about?: For the 22/23 season, Sam’s latest challenge sees his actual squad only being comprised of players from outside of Europe, with players only from Asia, North and South America, Australasia, and Africa considered.


Target Points: 2330pts

Total Points: 545pts

22/23 Captaincy: 5/13


Ins: Cristian Romero (TOT), Gabriel (ARS)

Outs: Kalidou Koulibaly (CHE), Pervis Estupiñán (BHA)


Transfer Thoughts: So, I haven’t had a captaincy return since GW9. And I have one of the strongest teams I’ve had all season with the new transfers coming in, with most of the teams in dominant positions and no conflicting fixtures. I replaced the two defenders causing me problems with injury and rotations for those that will play for their teams. Gabriel is a nice return as he was good whilst I had him and has another set of good fixtures ahead of him.


The Gameweek 14 team of the non-EU challenge includes:


22/23 Challenge: Rest of the World XI

GW14 Formation: 3-4-3


GK: Alisson (LIV)


DEF: Thiago Silva (CHE)

DEF: Cristian Romero (TOT)

DEF: Gabriel (ARS)


MID: Wilfried Zaha (CRY)

MID: Mohamad Salah (LIV) - (VC)

MID: Miguel Almirón (NEW)

MID: Gabriel Martinelli (ARS)


FWD: Gabriel Jesus (ARS) - (C)

FWD: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (CHE)

FWD: Darwin Nunez (LIV)


Substitutes:


GK: Wily Caballero (SOU)

MID: Antony (MUN)

DEF: Lisandro Martinez (MUN)

DEF: Mohammed Salisu (SOU)



2022/23 Premier League Season: Gameweek Fantasy Forecast (Robert Austin)


Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 14

Leicester 1-1 Man City

Bournemouth 1-3 Spurs

Brentford 1-1 Wolves

Brighton 2-1 Chelsea

Crystal Palace 3-2 Southampton

Newcastle 3-1 Aston Villa

Fulham 3-2 Everton

Liverpool 3-0 Leeds

Arsenal 2-0 Nottingham Forest

Man United 2-1 West Ham


FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 14


Is Haaland worth the risk as captain this week?:

I’m not taking the risk. I was on the fence about the fixture being the lunchtime Saturday kick-off, so I’ll be dropping the armband on Salah - to probably regret the move instantly. Based off of Pep’s pre-match conference, his tight lipped nature hasn’t helped and if anything it wouldn’t surprise me to see the 17-goal attacker get some time off the bench.


Is Miguel Almiron undeniable in FPL right now?:

There is no one more happier about Miguel Almiron showing his true potential at Newcastle than me. When he moved from Atlanta, we were covering MLS Fantasy and Miggy was the best player in the league that season and I wrote a long piece about the Paraguayan’s route to the Premier League and the statistics that got him here – Jack Grealish, eat your words out.


At just £5.4m and only 3 less points than De Bruyne (who is on 70), the winger’s form is undeniable and right now everyone should be putting in the red-hot South American. In particular, Almiron’s goal against Spurs reminded me of Mohamed Salah, winning the ball back high up the pitch before selling an opposing defender a dream, before finishing calmly on his left.


The only hiccup you may have is if you already have a triple-up of Newcastle players. I for instance have Pope and Trippier and Wilson in attack and don’t see it worth the loss of points for now to change the variables, though in reality if I had a backbone I’d drop points, put in Mitrovic and Miggy and proceed to live a happy life indeed. So yes, get him in and I don’t see his form dipping – Almiron’s a player of persistence, who has finally found his form at long, long last.


You don’t have to splash the cash for midfielders (largely):

Of the 17 midfielders to have 50+ points from the opening 14 games, 10 are priced under £7.0m. You don’t need Son, you can have Zaha, Pereira, Xhaka, Trossard, and more. The template is slowly changing to accommodate cheaper midfielders and having higher priced forwards and premium defenders.


What are the potential stumbling blocks to a good Gameweek?:

- Erling Haaland coming off the bench for a single point against Leicester

- Aston Villa’s quick turnaround since sacking Steven Gerrard springing a surprise at St James’s Park to limit the 7000k + who have brought in Miggy

- Mohamed Salah and KDB also failing to hit the mark if Haaland doesn’t play


Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:

Newcastle (Watch): A team greatly in form right now, who have looked like getting a result in every single game, Newcastle are undeniable, even if Villa are now managed by their former Managerial target, Unai Emery… who will be looking at this situation with a bit of oddity – when Emery turned the job down we were doomed for relegation, now he has joined a club in the bottom half who have less resources. Just weird to me.


Man City (Avoid): Leicester have hit some form at the right time and if Man City aren’t at the races, and can’t compensate for the potential of Haaland’s goals, this one could be a draw or a Leicester scalp.


Leeds (Avoid): Jesse Marsch’s team have a lot of injuries and are heading to Anfield with a weakened team. I’m sensing that pressure on the American might see his position buckle just prior to the World Cup.


Fulham (Watch): Whenever a team in some vein of form play Fulham away, it’s been a tough game (except when Newcastle beat them 4-1). I’m expecting a few goals and for Mitrovic to give Coady and Tarkowski a real battle.


Brighton & Chelsea (No Idea): Wouldn’t it just be in the script if Brighton beat Graham Potter on his return to The Amex? Potter’s blues have played well in Europe, but have stuttered at times in the league after as they adjust to life under new management, so this one could go either way. Just for the romanticism of the game, I am pulling for Brighton to get a big win to open up the Top 6 even further.


Top FPL player targets ahead of Gameweek 14:

- Alexandsar Mitrovic (FUL) has scored in three successive games. If you need a new Forward in, the choice is easy.

- Maybe for the Gameweek’s ahead, Timothy Castagne (LEI) has managed returns in five games on the trot, amassing 39 points. The only bright spot of my flopped Wildcard team.

- One of my football team asked me for a replacement for Jarrod Bowen (on the bench) in case of Haaland not playing, who to bring in? I advised on Zaha (CRY), Mount (CHE), Rashford (MUN) at a stretch, and Miggy Almiron (NEW) at a cheaper price point.

- Whenever I down own Ivan Toney (BRE), he scores. Brentford host Wolves and I don’t own Toney – make of that what you will.


FPL Captaincy Picks:

Essential: Mohamed Salah (LIV)

Alternative: Kevin De Bruyne (MCI)

Differential: Wilfried Zaha (CRY)


FPL Squad Picks: Gameweek 14

Formation: 3-4-3

Budget: £102.5m


Starting 11


GK: Nick Pope (NEW)


DEF: Virgil van Dijk (LIV)

DEF: William Saliba (ARS)

DEF: Kieran Trippier (NEW)


MID: Mohamed Salah (LIV) – (C)

MID: Miguel Almiron NEW)

MID: Wilfried Zaha (CRY) – (VC)

MID: Gabriel Martinelli (ARS)


FOR: Harry Kane (TOT)

FOR: Alexsander Mitrovic (FUL)

FOR: Gabriel Jesus (ARS)


Substitutes


GK: Danny Ward (LEI)

MID: Andreas Pereira (FUL)

DEF: Eric Dier (TOT)

DEF: Ben Mee (BRE)



Want to know more about The Hype Train?

The Hype Train is an entertainment website founded in 2015, specialising in general football and Fantasy sports reporting, starting with Fantasy Premier League (FPL), before expanding to MLS Fantasy coverage in 2018.

We pride ourselves in providing beautiful graphics, statistics, in-depth analytical reporting and free weekly insight for hopeful players attempting to climb rankings tables. We are also occasional media reviewers, with a keen interest to review games, live sport, and professional wrestling.

In 2019, Hype Train Football Club was formed, becoming the first Fantasy Football website to take to the field. HTFC is a socially active team across social and web channels, providing regular match highlights, match reports, comprehensive player statistics and unique player profiles. We won both Goal of the Season Awards in the Berkshire and County FA regions, with Callum Parr-Jones winning the Berks & Bucks FA award, whilst Martin King won the PlaySport UK award.


In 2021, we formed the Reading Sunday Social League (RSSL), a competitive Sunday League involving 8 teams in its debut season. During the 2021/22 season, we won our first-ever trophy, lifting the East Berkshire Football League's Presidents Cup!

The Hype Train were nominated and shortlisted for the 'Best Football Blog' in 2016 by the Football Bloggers Association at their annual Football Blogging Awards (The FBA's), and were again shortlisted as a finalist in 2019 in the 'Best Fantasy Football Blog' category.

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