Premier League 2022/23 Season: FPL Fantasy Forecast - Gameweek 29
Ahead of each Gameweek in the Premier League, The Hype Train's team - Robert Austin, Sam Austin, and Phil Jones - provide a rundown of the upcoming round of games in the Premier League; predicting scores for every game, picking a budgeted squad of 15 players that we think are the top selections each week, whilst ee also comb over other relevant statistics, impressions and insight from around the game and the league to best navigate you through the world of fantasy football, all for free. Welcome to the Forecast. All aboard.
2022/23 Premier League Season: Fantasy Forecast
The team go through a list of questions and insight to provide their predictions ahead of each Gameweek. None of the team pay for any subscription based FPL services, and the type of opinions here are based in both stats and analytical thinking where possible, as we tackle the latest round of games.
2022/23 Premier League Season: Gameweek Fantasy Forecast (Sam Austin)
Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 29
Man City 1-2 Liverpool
Arsenal 3-0 Leeds
Bournemouth 1-0 Fulham
Brighton 2-1 Brentford
Crystal Palace 0-2 Leicester
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Wolves
Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa
West Ham 1-1 Southampton
Newcastle 2-1 Man United
Everton 1-3 Spurs
Double Gameweek Fixtures (12 Teams):
Bournemouth 0-3 Brighton
Leeds 1-2 Nottingham Forest
Leicester 2-1 Aston Villa
Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Man United 2-0 Brentford
West Ham 0-2 Newcastle
Teams Only Playing Once (8):
Man City, Arsenal, Fulham, Crystal Palace, Southampton, Wolves, Everton, Spurs
FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 29
Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:
Liverpool (Watch): I have a sneaking suspicion that Liverpool will win both of their games in their Double Gameweek. They are currently the best performing team in the traditional ‘Top Six’ mini table. They beat City at Anfield earlier in the season, and drew 0-0 with Chelsea earlier in the season, and are undefeated in the last five games in all competitions against the Blues.
Brighton (Watch): Two good games, lots of players in-form and scoring goals, so it is a no-brainer to have them on the watchlist for this Gameweek.
West Ham (Avoid): In the Double Gameweek, but in two games that I can’t see them winning. Southampton aren’t pushovers despite their position in the table, and Newcastle are one of the best defensive outfits this season.
Top FPL player targets ahead of Gameweek 26:
GK: Emiliano MartÃnez (AVL, GK, £4.9mil, 5.1% ownership)
DEF: Ben Chilwell (CHE, DEF, £6.0mil, 10.3% ownership)
MID: Kaoru Mitoma (BHA, MID, £5.5mil, 24.5% ownership)
FWD: Alexander Isak (NEW, FWD, £6.7mil, 5.0% ownership)
Gameweek 29 - FPL Differential Picks:
MCI/LIV: Andrew Robertson (LIV, DEF, £6.8mil, 6.0% ownership)
ARS/LEE: Leandro Trossard (ARS, MID, £6.7mil, 8.3% ownership)
BOU/FUL: Marco Senesi (BOU, DEF, £4.4mil, 0.4% ownership)
BHA/BRE: Alexis Mac Allister (BHA, MID, £5.5mil, 7.7% ownership)
CRY/LEI: Patson Daka (LEI, FWD, £5.6mil, 0.9% ownership)
NFO/WOL: Keylor Navas (NFO, GK, £4.5mil, 1.0% ownership)
CHE/AVL: Kai Havertz (CHE, FWD, £7.6mil, 5.9% ownership)
WHU/SOU: Saïd Benrahma (WHU, MID, £5.5mil, 1.0% ownership)
NEW/MUN: Alexander Isak (NEW, FWD, £6.7mil, 5.0% ownership)
EVE/TOT: Hueng-Min Son (TOT, MID, £11.7mil, 7.0% ownership)
BOU/BHA: Alexis Mac Allister (BHA, MID, £5.5mil, 7.7% ownership)
LEE/NFO: Keylor Navas (NFO, GK, £4.5mil, 1.0% ownership)
LEI/AVL: Emiliano MartÃnez (AVL, GK, £4.9mil, 5.1% ownership)
CHE/LIV: Andrew Robertson (LIV, DEF, £6.8mil, 6.0% ownership)
MUN/BRE: Lisandro MartÃnez (MUN, DEF, £4.5mil, 6.6% ownership)
WHU/NEW: Alexander Isak (NEW, FWD, £6.7mil, 5.0% ownership)
Differential Captain: Alexander Isak (Newcastle)
FPL Captaincy Picks:
Essential: Mo Salah (LIV)
Alternative: Karou Mitoma (BHA)
Differential (low ownership %): Alexander Isak (NEW)
Rest of the World XI Challenge Team:
What is Sam’s team all about?: For the 22/23 season, Sam’s latest challenge sees his actual squad only being comprised of players from outside of Europe, with players only from Asia, North and South America, Australasia, and Africa considered.
Target Points: 2330pts
Total Points: 1450pts
22/23 Captaincy: 16/28
Ins: Alisson (LIV), Alexis Mac Allister (BHA), Patson Daka (LEI)
Outs: Ederson (MCI), Miguel Almirón (NEW), Kelechi Iheanacho (LEI)
Transfer Thoughts: I deliberately didn’t make a transfer last week to have two free ones for this Double Gameweek. I have made some no-brainer picks, as Alisson will be in two tough games against City and Chelsea in which Liverpool top the Top Six mini-table. Alisson has been outstanding this year and will make lots of saves. Elsewhere, Mac comes in for the injured Almirón to have three Brighton players in the team, and Iheanacho makes way for Daka in the Leicester forward line as the Zambian is the current starter.
The Gameweek 29 team of the non-EU challenge includes:
22/23 Challenge Team: Rest of the World XI
GW29 Formation: 4-3-3 (w/ Bench Boost)
GK: Alisson (LIV)
DEF: Harry Souttar (LEI)
DEF: Pervis Estupiñán (BHA)
DEF: Lisandro MartÃnez (MUN)
DEF: Kalidou Koulibaly (CHE)
MID: Mohamad Salah (LIV) - (VC)
MID: Kaoru Mitoma (BHA) - (C)
MID: Alexis Mac Allister (BHA)
FWD: Darwin Nunez (LIV)
FWD: Bryan Mbeumo (BRE)
FWD: Patson Daka (LEI)
Substitutes:
GK: Keylor Navas (NFO)
MID: Hueng-Min Son (TOT)
MID: Gabriel Martinelli (ARS)
DEF: Gabriel (ARS)
2022/23 Premier League Season: Gameweek Fantasy Forecast (Robert Austin)
Fixture Predictions: Gameweek 29
Man City 2-0 Liverpool
Arsenal 3-1 Leeds
Bournemouth 0-1 Fulham
Brighton 2-2 Brentford
Crystal Palace 0-1 Leicester
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Wolves
Chelsea 2-2 Aston Villa
West Ham 1-2 Southampton
Newcastle 3-2 Man United
Everton 0-0 Spurs
Double Gameweek Fixtures (12 Teams):
Bournemouth 1-3 Brighton
Leeds 2-2 Nottingham Forest
Leicester 0-1 Aston Villa
Chelsea 1-2 Liverpool
Man United 2-0 Brentford
West Ham 0-2 Newcastle
FPL Forecasting: Gameweek 29
Is it time to play your Bench Boost or Triple Captaincy chip, if you have it?:
The international break was tedious, with a largely quiet couple of weeks setting up a Double Gameweek like how many have predicted? If you want to play the Bench Boost, now might be a good time if you have your Arsenal players on the bench for a single fixture at home against Leeds.
My personal team has Danny Ward (24.1%) and William Saliba (27.6%) currently on the bench. The former is out of the team, whilst the latter is injured, whilst I have two Brentford players – Ben Mee (19.7%) and Mathias Jensen (2.7%) – so my own personal preference is to wait to play my BB later down the line, especially as I have my Wildcard chip still available – and that’s largely the advice you need to consider, look at the strength of your bench and see if you can save it for a better day, in case you need to play it during a later Gameweek. If you’re all set and have a good bench, however, then Gameweek 29 is for you.
As for playing the Triple Captaincy chip – you will need to be quite brave right off the back of an international break. FPL players are slightly out of rhythm due to the break, and that carriers over to our mental fears that players won’t show up how we expect them too, especially as top captaincy candidate, Marcus Rashford (52.4%) has a yellow flag to throw a few players off.
I will say though, I haven’t seen many ‘influencers’ in the FPL Community vying for the TC chip, as not only does it not fit into their content schedules as they touted using the TC chip on Haaland or Rashford earlier this season, but also because there is the general sense that it just might not be time if you still have the chip in your arsenal.
What are the potential stumbling blocks to a good Gameweek?:
- Captaincy dilemmas might be the root cause of a few headaches this Gameweek, always happens during a Double Gameweek. In my opinion, I think there are a few media darlings like Rashford and Mitoma, though it is a tough week to get it right.
- Rotation will at some point happen, so get braced for just a couple of surprises
- Arsenal having a tight game against Leeds, which will hurt those using the Bench Boost (and generally the chip having flaws with some players not playing)
- This Gameweek has received A LOT of hype. It might be just be a case that this Double just doesn’t cause the stir as most hope will happen – bad Gameweek’s do happen
Who are the teams to look out for and avoid?:
Liverpool (Avoid): I’ve gone back throughout Liverpool’s results this season, and when they are in the 12:30pm kick-off, they haven’t scored a single goal (they lost 1-0 at Bournemouth, drew 0-0 with Everton, among their results). I have very little confidence that Klopp’s team will wake up for the tie at The Etihad (and yes, I own Mo Salah in FPL). They then play Chelsea, which can go anyway, so will be a nail-biting Gameweek expecting many, if any, points – and if they do arrive, it will be a welcome surprise for most.
Brighton (Watch): Arguably the safest team to bank in the DGW. They have players in good form across the pitch, and have good fixtures, this one isn’t complicated.
Newcastle & Man United (Cautious): It’s not a straightforward Gameweek for either team. FPL players will be expecting Rashford to come alive against Eddie Howe’s team, but I’m lowkey expecting this to be low scoring, or perhaps a Newcastle win, to put pressure on the race for Champions League qualification, also getting revenge from their recent League Cup final loss.
West Ham (are they being overlooked?): Back to back home games for David Moyes and his team in the race to stay in the league. A huge couple of games against Southampton and Newcastle, but both are potentially winnable. As of writing, Jarrod Bowen (£8.0m) is the most transferred in Hammer with 55,633 transfers in, so the FPL Community disagrees – and I am not saying they will come, but it is a good question to pose. Could we be overlooking some key differentials if there is a big week in London?
Aside from West Ham, Bournemouth play twice at home in winnable games, whilst Nottingham Forest’s inconsistency means that FPL players are overlooking a brace of good fixtures too.
Aston Villa (Dark Horses): A couple of months ago, everyone would argue a couple of away ties against Chelsea and Leicester would be too much for FPL players to contemplate. We’re in a position though that Unai Emery is getting results from his squad, and though they will be under the cosh, Ollie Watkins is in form, and Villa haven’t lost in 4 games (albeit against teams they should be beating).
Top FPL player targets ahead of Gameweek 29:
In attack, mid-priced forwards are on the radar – Isak (NEW), Toney (BRE), Watkins (AVL) – lead the way and are the trio most are looking at, whilst going under the radar will be Joao Felix and Kai Havertz (CHE), and other ‘Top 6’ players such as Darwin Nunez (LIV).
Brighton midfielders Mitoma (£5.5m) and March (£5.1m) are still the leading candidates, whilst Man United are getting the backing of FPL players with Bruno Fernandes ((£9.6m) and Luke Shaw (£5.2m) coming in, with Shaw coming in for the injured Saliba (ARS).
No goalkeeper has been transferred in 100,000 times yet prior to the deadline, with Steele (BHA) presumably coming in for Danny Ward (LEI), whilst David de Gea (MUN) is a decent option if you fancy the Spaniard to keep a clean sheet at Newcastle.
FPL Captaincy Picks:
Essential: Marcus Rashford (MUN)
Alternative: James Maddison (LEI)
Differential: Alexander Isak (NEW)
FPL Squad Picks: Gameweek 29
Formation: 3-4-3
Budget: £102.5m
Starting 11
GK: Emi Martinez (AVL)
DEF: Kieran Trippier (NEW)
DEF: Timothy Castagne (LEI)
DEF: Ben Chilwell (CHE)
MID: Mohamed Salah (LIV)
MID: Marcus Rashford (MUN) – (C)
MID: Kaoru Mitoma (BHA)
MID: James Maddison (LEI)
FOR: Ivan Toney (BRE)
FOR: Alexander Isak (NEW) – (VC)
FOR: Ollie Watkins (AVL)
Substitutes
GK: Jason Steele (BHA)
DEF: Ben Mee (BRE)
MID: Mathias Jensen (BRE)
DEF: Lewis Dunk (BHA)
Want to know more about The Hype Train?
The Hype Train is an entertainment website founded in 2015, specialising in general football and Fantasy sports reporting, starting with Fantasy Premier League (FPL), before expanding to MLS Fantasy coverage in 2018.
We pride ourselves in providing beautiful graphics, statistics, in-depth analytical reporting and free weekly insight for hopeful players attempting to climb rankings tables. We are also occasional media reviewers, with a keen interest to review games, live sport, and professional wrestling.
In 2019, Hype Train Football Club was formed, becoming the first Fantasy Football website to take to the field. HTFC is a socially active team across social and web channels, providing regular match highlights, match reports, comprehensive player statistics and unique player profiles. We won both Goal of the Season Awards in the Berkshire and County FA regions, with Callum Parr-Jones winning the Berks & Bucks FA award, whilst Martin King won the PlaySport UK award.
In 2021, we formed the Reading Sunday Social League (RSSL), a competitive Sunday League involving 8 teams in its debut season. During the 2021/22 season, we won our first-ever trophy, lifting the East Berkshire Football League's Presidents Cup!
The Hype Train were nominated and shortlisted for the 'Best Football Blog' in 2016 by the Football Bloggers Association at their annual Football Blogging Awards (The FBA's), and were again shortlisted as a finalist in 2019 in the 'Best Fantasy Football Blog' category.
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